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DTEF: Predict response distributions for United States. Source: Global Dialogues GD2 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 16th 74.3% | 13th 75.0% | 6th 78.3% | 5th 79.7% | 1st 82.3% | 13th 75.0% | 4th 79.7% | 17th 74.0% | 2nd 81.7% | 7th 78.0% | 10th 75.7% | 3rd 80.0% | 19th 73.0% | 10th 75.7% | 8th 76.7% | 17th 74.0% | 10th 75.7% | 21st 66.7% | 9th 76.3% | 20th 71.7% | 15th 74.7% | |
| 89.5% | 80% | 81% | 95% | 95% | 95% | 80% | 99% | 95% | 95% | 93% | 87% | 93% | 90% | 91% | 89% | 84% | 87% | 83% | 89% | 91% | 88% | |
| 62.6% | 64% | 65% | 64% | 68% | 69% | 67% | 61% | 50% | 67% | 64% | 63% | 66% | 54% | 55% | 73% | 68% | 65% | 44% | 64% | 56% | 67% | |
| 76.2% | 79% | 79% | 76% | 76% | 83% | 78% | 79% | 77% | 83% | 77% | 77% | 81% | 75% | 81% | 68% | 70% | 75% | 73% | 76% | 68% | 69% |