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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Russian Federation. Source: Global Dialogues GD2 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 15th 65.0% | 5th 69.3% | 7th 68.0% | 3rd 70.7% | 2nd 72.7% | 19th 62.0% | 10th 66.3% | 17th 63.3% | 9th 66.7% | 16th 63.7% | 14th 65.7% | 1st 74.7% | 11th 66.3% | 7th 68.0% | 12th 66.0% | 4th 69.7% | 12th 66.0% | 18th 62.7% | 20th 61.0% | 6th 69.0% | |
| 84.9% | 69% | 89% | 86% | 86% | 90% | 82% | 88% | 89% | 87% | 89% | 81% | 87% | 82% | 87% | 86% | 80% | 86% | 86% | 82% | 87% | |
| 47.5% | 54% | 51% | 49% | 65% | 54% | 42% | 47% | 34% | 47% | 40% | 44% | 54% | 40% | 40% | 53% | 56% | 51% | 37% | 40% | 52% | |
| 68.0% | 72% | 68% | 69% | 61% | 74% | 62% | 64% | 67% | 66% | 62% | 72% | 83% | 77% | 77% | 59% | 73% | 61% | 65% | 61% | 68% |