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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Israel. Source: Global Dialogues GD2 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 21st 73.3% | 12th 76.7% | 12th 76.7% | 8th 78.7% | 2nd 80.3% | 6th 79.0% | 6th 79.0% | 18th 75.7% | 12th 76.7% | 11th 78.0% | 16th 76.3% | 4th 79.3% | 17th 76.0% | 9th 78.3% | 19th 75.3% | 4th 79.3% | 3rd 80.3% | 20th 74.7% | 9th 78.3% | 12th 76.7% | 1st 85.0% | |
| 76.0% | 62% | 67% | 65% | 67% | 81% | 79% | 86% | 78% | 77% | 79% | 67% | 82% | 84% | 77% | 73% | 74% | 82% | 65% | 76% | 82% | 93% | |
| 74.0% | 75% | 85% | 85% | 85% | 79% | 79% | 63% | 59% | 75% | 73% | 73% | 65% | 62% | 67% | 81% | 80% | 71% | 76% | 79% | 66% | 75% | |
| 83.4% | 83% | 78% | 80% | 84% | 81% | 79% | 88% | 90% | 78% | 82% | 89% | 91% | 82% | 91% | 72% | 84% | 88% | 83% | 80% | 82% | 87% |