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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Israel. Source: Global Dialogues GD2 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4.1 Fast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 18th 75.7% | 19th 75.3% | 14th 76.3% | 7th 78.7% | 2nd 81.7% | 6th 79.0% | 14th 76.3% | 14th 76.3% | 12th 77.3% | 8th 78.0% | 20th 74.0% | 4th 79.3% | 14th 76.3% | 8th 78.0% | 1st 87.3% | 8th 78.0% | 11th 77.7% | 21st 72.0% | 4th 79.3% | 13th 76.7% | 2nd 81.7% | |
| 76.0% | 65% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 81% | 79% | 86% | 78% | 77% | 79% | 67% | 82% | 82% | 72% | 89% | 73% | 74% | 71% | 84% | 80% | 79% | |
| 73.1% | 75% | 78% | 85% | 85% | 79% | 79% | 63% | 61% | 75% | 72% | 69% | 65% | 61% | 67% | 85% | 82% | 71% | 65% | 75% | 65% | 79% | |
| 84.4% | 87% | 81% | 80% | 84% | 85% | 79% | 80% | 90% | 80% | 83% | 86% | 91% | 86% | 95% | 88% | 79% | 88% | 80% | 79% | 85% | 87% |