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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Mexico. Source: Global Dialogues GD2 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7th 81.7% | 9th 81.7% | 1st 83.3% | 4th 82.0% | 15th 75.3% | 17th 74.0% | 12th 77.3% | 16th 74.3% | 3rd 82.7% | 4th 82.0% | 11th 81.0% | 7th 81.7% | 14th 75.7% | 13th 77.0% | 1st 83.3% | 4th 82.0% | 20th 69.7% | 19th 71.3% | 10th 81.3% | 18th 72.3% | 21st 65.0% | |
| 85.4% | 91% | 83% | 87% | 87% | 74% | 83% | 91% | 84% | 90% | 94% | 87% | 85% | 84% | 87% | 86% | 90% | 79% | 82% | 88% | 76% | ||
| 59.9% | 63% | 70% | 72% | 63% | 65% | 59% | 48% | 51% | 58% | 59% | 65% | 62% | 47% | 59% | 70% | 61% | 51% | 46% | 64% | 60% | 65% | |
| 90.4% | 91% | 92% | 91% | 96% | 87% | 80% | 93% | 88% | 100% | 93% | 91% | 98% | 96% | 85% | 94% | 95% | 79% | 86% | 92% | 81% |