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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Mexico. Source: Global Dialogues GD2 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3rd 82.3% | 2nd 82.7% | 4th 82.3% | 5th 82.0% | 10th 79.0% | 20th 73.7% | 17th 77.3% | 18th 75.7% | 6th 81.3% | 1st 84.7% | 10th 79.0% | 14th 78.3% | 14th 78.3% | 19th 75.3% | 6th 81.3% | 8th 79.7% | 12th 78.7% | 16th 77.7% | 8th 79.7% | 21st 73.0% | 12th 78.7% | |
| 85.9% | 89% | 92% | 87% | 87% | 82% | 83% | 91% | 88% | 91% | 94% | 87% | 85% | 87% | 87% | 91% | 87% | 84% | 76% | 83% | 76% | 76% | |
| 62.0% | 67% | 64% | 72% | 63% | 68% | 58% | 52% | 50% | 58% | 63% | 63% | 60% | 57% | 55% | 65% | 64% | 61% | 66% | 64% | 60% | 72% | |
| 89.4% | 91% | 92% | 88% | 96% | 87% | 80% | 89% | 89% | 95% | 97% | 87% | 90% | 91% | 84% | 88% | 88% | 91% | 91% | 92% | 83% | 88% |