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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Kenya. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3rd 74.5% | 8th 70.0% | 1st 75.3% | 1st 75.3% | 4th 72.3% | 21st 57.0% | 13th 65.5% | 14th 65.3% | 19th 62.8% | 6th 71.5% | 9th 67.8% | 16th 64.0% | 10th 67.3% | 18th 63.5% | 4th 72.3% | 7th 71.3% | 20th 62.0% | 11th 66.0% | 11th 66.0% | 17th 63.7% | 14th 65.3% | |
| 67.8% | 68% | 68% | 68% | 69% | 67% | 61% | 70% | 69% | 60% | 73% | 71% | 71% | 66% | 71% | 76% | 67% | 58% | 71% | 65% | 62% | 72% | |
| 77.7% | 89% | 76% | 89% | 89% | 85% | 70% | 76% | 85% | 69% | 81% | 79% | 78% | 79% | 76% | 73% | 83% | 73% | 68% | 72% | 70% | 72% | |
| 58.3% | 63% | 64% | 64% | 67% | 68% | 38% | 60% | 49% | 55% | 65% | 48% | 48% | 60% | 48% | 71% | 67% | 51% | 57% | 62% | 57% | 62% | |
| 66.4% | 78% | 72% | 80% | 76% | 69% | 59% | 56% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 73% | 59% | 64% | 59% | 69% | 68% | 66% | 68% | 65% | 66% | 55% |