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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Israel. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4.1 Fast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 10th 75.8% | 9th 76.5% | 11th 75.8% | 3rd 78.0% | 7th 77.0% | 13th 75.5% | 15th 74.8% | 20th 67.8% | 16th 73.8% | 18th 73.0% | 1st 81.5% | 11th 75.8% | 14th 75.0% | 4th 77.8% | 5th 77.5% | 2nd 79.8% | 5th 77.5% | 7th 77.0% | 19th 72.2% | 17th 73.3% | 21st 65.8% | |
| 75.2% | 75% | 70% | 70% | 73% | 72% | 70% | 77% | 78% | 68% | 74% | 84% | 81% | 80% | 86% | 70% | 80% | 80% | 71% | 68% | 75% | 77% | |
| 76.1% | 78% | 78% | 81% | 83% | 76% | 83% | 78% | 60% | 68% | 70% | 85% | 74% | 78% | 79% | 73% | 79% | 74% | 87% | 78% | 79% | 58% | |
| 59.6% | 61% | 62% | 62% | 67% | 65% | 60% | 61% | 43% | 60% | 54% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 53% | 70% | 66% | 61% | 62% | 49% | 57% | 61% | |
| 90.2% | 89% | 96% | 90% | 89% | 95% | 89% | 83% | 90% | 99% | 94% | 97% | 88% | 85% | 93% | 97% | 94% | 95% | 88% | 94% | 82% | 67% |