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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Israel. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7th 76.3% | 5th 76.5% | 11th 75.5% | 3rd 78.0% | 12th 75.3% | 13th 74.8% | 14th 74.5% | 21st 68.5% | 19th 73.0% | 9th 75.8% | 1st 80.5% | 10th 75.8% | 18th 73.3% | 4th 76.8% | 2nd 79.0% | 6th 76.5% | 8th 76.0% | 15th 73.8% | 17th 73.8% | 19th 73.0% | 15th 73.8% | |
| 75.2% | 77% | 70% | 70% | 73% | 72% | 67% | 77% | 78% | 70% | 78% | 84% | 81% | 73% | 81% | 78% | 69% | 80% | 81% | 70% | 74% | 77% | |
| 77.0% | 78% | 78% | 81% | 83% | 76% | 81% | 77% | 64% | 68% | 79% | 81% | 74% | 78% | 79% | 73% | 81% | 79% | 76% | 78% | 79% | 73% | |
| 58.2% | 61% | 62% | 62% | 67% | 65% | 60% | 61% | 44% | 59% | 54% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 53% | 70% | 61% | 53% | 41% | 61% | 52% | 60% | |
| 90.5% | 89% | 96% | 89% | 89% | 88% | 91% | 83% | 88% | 95% | 92% | 97% | 88% | 85% | 94% | 95% | 95% | 92% | 97% | 86% | 87% | 85% |