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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Israel. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 9th 75.5% | 8th 76.3% | 11th 75.3% | 1st 79.5% | 3rd 78.3% | 12th 75.0% | 21st 56.5% | 20th 69.0% | 15th 74.0% | 14th 74.3% | 1st 79.5% | 6th 76.8% | 13th 74.8% | 7th 76.5% | 10th 75.5% | 3rd 78.3% | 5th 77.3% | 16th 73.5% | 17th 73.0% | 19th 69.8% | 18th 72.2% | |
| 74.5% | 77% | 70% | 68% | 73% | 75% | 70% | 77% | 83% | 68% | 72% | 76% | 81% | 75% | 81% | 65% | 76% | 80% | 79% | 69% | 71% | 79% | |
| 76.3% | 78% | 78% | 81% | 83% | 84% | 81% | 78% | 60% | 71% | 79% | 84% | 78% | 79% | 78% | 68% | 79% | 79% | 67% | 78% | 69% | 70% | |
| 58.4% | 61% | 62% | 62% | 67% | 57% | 60% | 61% | 44% | 62% | 54% | 61% | 60% | 57% | 53% | 72% | 66% | 55% | 51% | 49% | 52% | 60% | |
| 88.0% | 86% | 95% | 90% | 95% | 97% | 89% | 10% | 89% | 95% | 92% | 97% | 88% | 88% | 94% | 97% | 92% | 95% | 97% | 96% | 87% | 80% |