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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Mexico. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7th 73.5% | 16th 70.0% | 9th 73.3% | 6th 74.8% | 1st 77.0% | 21st 65.3% | 2nd 76.5% | 9th 73.3% | 19th 69.2% | 15th 70.3% | 4th 75.5% | 18th 69.3% | 7th 73.5% | 4th 75.5% | 17th 69.8% | 9th 73.3% | 13th 71.5% | 14th 70.5% | 3rd 76.3% | 20th 68.5% | 12th 72.0% | |
| 69.0% | 67% | 65% | 62% | 60% | 62% | 57% | 66% | 72% | 69% | 74% | 73% | 74% | 77% | 81% | 73% | 70% | 67% | 69% | 64% | 71% | 76% | |
| 75.3% | 77% | 73% | 85% | 84% | 77% | 69% | 80% | 72% | 67% | 76% | 77% | 70% | 78% | 71% | 75% | 75% | 74% | 71% | 78% | 72% | 81% | |
| 63.9% | 68% | 68% | 72% | 73% | 71% | 56% | 68% | 59% | 59% | 60% | 68% | 49% | 68% | 65% | 60% | 68% | 60% | 59% | 71% | 60% | 60% | |
| 81.0% | 82% | 74% | 74% | 82% | 98% | 79% | 92% | 90% | 82% | 71% | 84% | 84% | 71% | 85% | 71% | 80% | 85% | 83% | 92% | 71% | 71% |