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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Israel. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 17th 76.8% | 8th 80.3% | 13th 77.8% | 11th 78.3% | 18th 75.8% | 16th 77.5% | 13th 77.8% | 19th 75.5% | 20th 75.3% | 13th 77.8% | 3rd 83.3% | 21st 73.5% | 7th 80.7% | 5th 81.5% | 5th 81.5% | 4th 83.0% | 2nd 83.5% | 9th 79.8% | 1st 84.5% | 11th 78.3% | 10th 78.5% | |
| 78.0% | 76% | 76% | 70% | 75% | 72% | 70% | 70% | 74% | 76% | 76% | 85% | 71% | 84% | 90% | 85% | 80% | 85% | 76% | 86% | 79% | 83% | |
| 82.8% | 71% | 88% | 80% | 82% | 68% | 90% | 88% | 75% | 71% | 71% | 90% | 87% | 81% | 78% | 82% | 92% | 94% | 90% | 87% | 91% | 83% | |
| 66.2% | 68% | 72% | 72% | 67% | 71% | 61% | 61% | 55% | 62% | 72% | 66% | 60% | 61% | 60% | 68% | 76% | 67% | 62% | 70% | 67% | 72% | |
| 89.2% | 92% | 85% | 89% | 89% | 92% | 89% | 92% | 98% | 92% | 92% | 92% | 76% | 97% | 98% | 91% | 84% | 88% | 91% | 95% | 76% | 76% |