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DTEF: Predict response distributions for Mexico. Source: Global Dialogues GD1 (https://github.com/collect-intel/global-dialogues)
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude Haiku 4.5 | Claude Sonnet 4 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT 5 | GPT 5.1 | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | Grok 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1st 77.8% | 7th 72.8% | 8th 72.0% | 4th 74.5% | 19th 67.5% | 21st 65.3% | 12th 70.5% | 14th 70.0% | 16th 69.7% | 10th 71.5% | 2nd 75.8% | 9th 71.5% | 18th 67.8% | 3rd 75.0% | 6th 73.8% | 5th 74.0% | 17th 68.8% | 14th 70.0% | 11th 70.8% | 12th 70.5% | 20th 66.8% | |
| 67.6% | 73% | 65% | 65% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 66% | 69% | 69% | 75% | 76% | 70% | 72% | 77% | 67% | 66% | 66% | 67% | 64% | 62% | 74% | |
| 73.3% | 84% | 78% | 77% | 84% | 72% | 69% | 80% | 68% | 67% | 76% | 75% | 67% | 71% | 67% | 77% | 73% | 68% | 67% | 78% | 71% | 71% | |
| 64.4% | 72% | 68% | 72% | 72% | 67% | 56% | 65% | 59% | 59% | 64% | 68% | 51% | 57% | 65% | 67% | 72% | 60% | 71% | 71% | 65% | 51% | |
| 79.6% | 82% | 80% | 74% | 82% | 71% | 79% | 71% | 84% | 84% | 71% | 84% | 98% | 71% | 91% | 84% | 85% | 81% | 75% | 70% | 84% | 71% |